The civil war in Libya went on longer than expected, but the fall of Tripoli came faster than was forecast. As in Kabul in 2001 and Baghdad in 2003, there was no last-ditch stand by the defeated regime, whose supporters appear to have melted away once they saw that defeat was inevitable.
Karl Marx was right, it seems, in arguing that globalization, financial intermediation run amok, and redistribution of income and wealth from labor to capital could lead capitalism to self-destruct. So what can be done to prevent that outcome?.The massive volatility and sharp equity-price correction now hitting global financial markets signal that most advanced economies are on the brink of a double-dip recession. A financial and economic crisis caused by too much private-sector debt and leverage led to a massive re-leveraging of the public sector in order to prevent Great Depression 2.0. But the subsequent recovery has been anemic and sub-par in most advanced economies given painful deleveraging. Read the rest of this entry »
Psychology and not the news behind the sudden price declines…The ghost of Lehman’s back. Frightened by coward politicians, citizens vote for the one who promises the most and the market acts as an irrational monster. As long as fear and greed dominates over the economy, the economy will continue to decline.I call the market a monster because it is as unpredictable as ruthless. Nothing fundamental has really happened to justify the last days of sharp stock market collapse and turmoil in the global economy. To 90 percent, it is about psychology. Read the rest of this entry »